AC Oulu vs VPS: prediction and stats
VeikkausliigaChampionship Group - 30Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Raatin stadion, Oulu
The Footlab AI model makes AC Oulu the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for VPS. The most likely score is 1-1. If AC Oulu wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,247 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AC Oulu vs VPS?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate AC Oulu (1,689) and VPS (1,680).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AC Oulu vs VPS
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AC Oulu
4-4-2- 7R. Karjalainen
- 10C. Triana
- 25M. Arsalo
- 21I. Mendolin
- 27E. Kallio
- 36J. Lotvonen
- 66J. Pirinen
- 5M. Pitkänen
- 16O. Kemppainen
- 22T. Kaukua
- 13Miguel Santos
VPS
3-4-1-2- 29W. Samaké
- 9C. Holmelund
- 2L. Mane
- 34A. Räisänen
- 7J. Turfkruier
- 27K. Kouassivi-Benissan
- 8Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima
- 23M. Niemi
- 6E. Okereke
- 3Razak Simpson
- 41M. Jalloh
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 06:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Oulu have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; VPS have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Gnistan(away) | 4-3 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 2-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 12, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 3-4 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 8, 2026 | KuPS(away) | 1-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | KuPS(away) | 0-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Gnistan(home) | 1-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 8, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(away) | 0-6 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 0-2 | Veikkausliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 AC Oulu wins, 0 draws, 2 VPS wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | VPS 1-0 AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga |
| Jun 23, 2026 | VPS 5-1 AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga |
| Apr 18, 2026 | AC Oulu 1-0 VPS | Veikkausliiga |
| Jan 24, 2026 | VPS 1-4 AC Oulu | League Cup |
| Oct 4, 2025 | AC Oulu 2-0 VPS | Veikkausliiga |
| Jun 28, 2025 | AC Oulu 2-1 VPS | Veikkausliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
AC Oulu score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; VPS score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Oulu | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| VPS | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AC Oulu sit 4th in Veikkausliiga (43 points from 29 matches) and VPS sit 6th (39 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AC Oulu | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 37 | 43 |
| 6 | VPS | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 31 | 34 | 39 |
A question about AC Oulu vs VPS?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AC Oulu vs VPS?
- The Footlab AI model makes AC Oulu the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for VPS.
- Where and when is AC Oulu vs VPS played?
- AC Oulu vs VPS is played on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Raatin stadion, in the Veikkausliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.