KuPS vs Gnistan: prediction and stats
VeikkausliigaChampionship Group - 30Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Väre Areena, Kuopio
The Footlab AI model makes KuPS the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Gnistan. The most likely score is 1-1. If KuPS wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,263 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KuPS vs Gnistan?
On Elo ratings, KuPS has 1,789 points and Gnistan 1,708.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for KuPS vs Gnistan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
KuPS
4-2-3-1- 11J. Moreno
- 8P. Pennanen
- 10V. Gasc
- 24B. Armah
- 21J. Luyeye-Lutumba
- 16T. Jyry
- 23A. Lötjönen
- 25C. Antwi
- 28B. Magassa
- 6S. Savolainen
- 1J. Kreidl
Gnistan
5-4-1- 10J. Latonen
- 7A. Atarah
- 15G. Europaeus
- 31A. Jouhi
- 23S. Ylätupa
- 12E. Arko-Mensah
- 3Ruxi
- 24P. Gnanou
- 19B. Milovanov
- 67A. Obileye
- 1O. Virtanen
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 06:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KuPS have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Gnistan have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Borac Banja Luka(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | VPS(home) | 2-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Trabzonspor(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 8, 2026 | AC Oulu(home) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | AC Oulu(home) | 3-4 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(away) | 0-4 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 12, 2026 | VPS(away) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 0-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 1-1 | Veikkausliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 KuPS wins, 2 draws, 0 Gnistan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Gnistan 1-1 KuPS | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gnistan 0-1 KuPS | Veikkausliiga |
| Apr 11, 2026 | KuPS 1-0 Gnistan | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 30, 2025 | KuPS 1-1 Gnistan | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Gnistan 0-4 KuPS | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 1, 2025 | KuPS 6-2 Gnistan | Veikkausliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
KuPS score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gnistan score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KuPS | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Gnistan | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KuPS sit 3rd in Veikkausliiga (51 points from 28 matches) and Gnistan sit 5th (42 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | KuPS | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Gnistan | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 42 |
A question about KuPS vs Gnistan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KuPS vs Gnistan?
- The Footlab AI model makes KuPS the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Gnistan.
- Where and when is KuPS vs Gnistan played?
- KuPS vs Gnistan is played on October 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Väre Areena, in the Veikkausliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.