Match

Académica do Lobito vs Sporting de Cabinda: prediction and stats

GirabolaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Buraco, Lobito

Académica do LobitoSporting de Cabinda

The Footlab model makes Académica do Lobito the favourite at 51%, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Sporting de Cabinda. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Académica do Lobito vs Sporting de Cabinda?

Académica do Lobito starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,591 vs 1,452).

Académica do Lobito win51 %
Draw30 %
Sporting de Cabinda win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Académica do Lobito have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Sporting de Cabinda have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Académica do Lobito
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wiliete(away)0-2Girabola
May 24, 2026Interclube(home)0-0Girabola
May 20, 2026Petro de Luanda(home)1-1Girabola
May 17, 2026Recreativo do Libolo(away)0-3Girabola
May 14, 2026CD Lunda-Sul(home)1-1Girabola
Sporting de Cabinda
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Recreativo do Libolo(home)0-3Girabola
May 25, 2024Interclube(home)0-1Girabola
May 18, 2024Recreativo do Libolo(away)2-4Girabola
May 11, 2024CD Lunda-Sul(home)2-1Girabola
May 8, 2024Petro de Luanda(away)0-3Girabola

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Académica do Lobito win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Sporting de Cabinda win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 20, 2024Sporting de Cabinda 1-1 Académica do LobitoGirabola
Apr 8, 2023Sporting de Cabinda 1-0 Académica do LobitoGirabola
Nov 24, 2022Académica do Lobito 3-0 Sporting de CabindaGirabola
Mar 19, 2022Sporting de Cabinda 1-1 Académica do LobitoGirabola
Nov 20, 2021Académica do Lobito 3-0 Sporting de CabindaGirabola
Jun 30, 2021Sporting de Cabinda 0-2 Académica do LobitoGirabola

Last archived meeting: Sporting de Cabinda vs Académica do Lobito on Mar 20, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Académica do Lobito score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting de Cabinda score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Académica do Lobito1.01.246/154/15
Sporting de Cabinda0.92.309/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Académica do Lobito sit 14th in Girabola (0 points from 1 matches) and Sporting de Cabinda sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Académica do Lobito1001020
16Sporting de Cabinda1001030

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Académica do Lobito vs Sporting de Cabinda?
The Footlab model makes Académica do Lobito the favourite at 51%, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Sporting de Cabinda.
Where and when is Académica do Lobito vs Sporting de Cabinda played?
Académica do Lobito vs Sporting de Cabinda is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Buraco, in the Girabola.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Académica do Lobito and Sporting de Cabinda

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