1º de Maio vs São Salvador: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Edelfride Palhares da Costa, Benguela
The Footlab model makes 1º de Maio the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 22% for São Salvador. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1º de Maio vs São Salvador?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate 1º de Maio (1,589) and São Salvador (1,643).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1º de Maio have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; São Salvador have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kabuscorp(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 16, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 10, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(away) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Interclube(home) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Luanda City(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Kabuscorp(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | Interclube(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 9, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 1º de Maio win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 São Salvador win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | São Salvador 3-2 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1º de Maio 1-0 São Salvador | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: São Salvador vs 1º de Maio on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1º de Maio score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; São Salvador score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1º de Maio | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| São Salvador | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1º de Maio sit 7th in Girabola (1 points from 1 matches) and São Salvador sit 13th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1º de Maio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | São Salvador | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1º de Maio vs São Salvador?
- The Footlab model makes 1º de Maio the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 22% for São Salvador.
- Where and when is 1º de Maio vs São Salvador played?
- 1º de Maio vs São Salvador is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Edelfride Palhares da Costa, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Académica do LobitovsSporting de Cabinda
- Mar 13, 2027Desportivo HuílavsFC Luanda
- Mar 13, 2027InterclubevsRecreativo do Libolo
- Mar 13, 2027KabuscorpvsPetro de Luanda
- Mar 13, 2027Recreativo da CaálavsSagrada Esperança
- Mar 13, 2027Wilietevs1º de Agosto
- Mar 13, 2027CD Lunda-SulvsBravos do Maquis FC