Academica vs Nacional: result 1-0 and analysis
Taça de Portugal4th RoundKick-off on November 19, 2017 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio EFAPEL, Coimbra
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What was the result of Academica vs Nacional?
Academica won 1-0 on November 19, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 62′MarinhoAcademica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Academica have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Nacional have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2017 | Nacional(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 1, 2017 | Oliveirense(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 28, 2017 | Arouca(home) | 4-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 21, 2017 | Leixoes(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 15, 2017 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2017 | Academica(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 29, 2017 | Varzim(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 25, 2017 | Sporting CP B(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 21, 2017 | Cova De Piedade(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 15, 2017 | Merelinense(home) | 4-2 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Academica win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2017 | Academica 1-0 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 7, 2016 | Academica 2-2 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2015 | Nacional 2-0 Academica | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 15, 2015 | Academica 2-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 26, 2014 | Nacional 1-0 Academica | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 21, 2014 | Academica 0-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Academica score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academica | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Nacional | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy