Academica vs Penafiel: result 3-2 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on January 28, 2017 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio EFAPEL, Coimbra
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What was the result of Academica vs Penafiel?
Academica won 3-2 on January 28, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 12′Wellington CarvalhoPenafiel
- 50′KakáAcademica
- 60′Rui MiguelAcademica (pen.)
- 63′MarinhoAcademica
- 65′Philipe Fidélis dos SantosPenafiel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Academica have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Penafiel have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2017 | Santa Clara(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 17, 2017 | Estoril(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Jan 12, 2017 | Olhanense(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 8, 2017 | FC Porto B(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 30, 2016 | Sporting CP B(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2017 | Portimonense(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 14, 2017 | SC Covilha(away) | 3-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 7, 2017 | Olhanense(home) | 4-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 21, 2016 | Leixoes(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 18, 2016 | Aves(home) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Academica win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Penafiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2016 | Academica 1-0 Penafiel | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 21, 2016 | Penafiel 1-0 Academica | Segunda Liga |
| May 3, 2015 | Penafiel 0-0 Academica | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 21, 2014 | Academica 0-0 Penafiel | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Academica vs Penafiel on Dec 14, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Academica score 0.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Penafiel score 1.4 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academica | 0.8 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Penafiel | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Academica sit 1st in Segunda Liga (9 points from 3 matches) and Penafiel sit 14th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy