Match

Halcones Negros vs Acatlan: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)

Halcones NegrosAcatlan

The Footlab AI model makes Halcones Negros the favourite at 85%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Acatlan. The most likely score is 3-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Halcones Negros vs Acatlan?

Halcones Negros starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,869 vs 1,766).

85%10%5%
Halcones Negros winDrawAcatlan win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Halcones Negros vs Acatlan

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Halcones Negros

Not enough data to predict the Halcones Negros lineup.

Acatlan

Not enough data to predict the Acatlan lineup.

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:18 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Halcones Negros have 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Acatlan have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Halcones Negros
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Real Refineros(away)3-2Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 3, 2026Ciervos(away)5-0Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 27, 2026Calor de San Pedro(home)7-0Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 19, 2026Artesanos Metepec(away)1-2Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 13, 2026Guerreros del Pacifico(home)3-0Liga Premier Serie A
Acatlan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Mineros de Fresnillo(home)2-4Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 1, 2026Héroes de Zaci(away)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 25, 2026FC Santiago(home)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 19, 2026Correcaminos UAT II(away)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 12, 2026Real Apodaca(home)4-1Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Halcones Negros score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 7; Acatlan score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Halcones Negros2.90.943/76/7
Acatlan1.72.147/1511/15

Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Halcones Negros sit 3rd in Liga Premier Serie A (14 points from 7 matches) and Acatlan sit 4th (13 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Halcones Negros741220614
4Acatlan7412121013

A question about Halcones Negros vs Acatlan?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Halcones Negros vs Acatlan?
The Footlab AI model makes Halcones Negros the favourite at 85%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Acatlan.
Where and when is Halcones Negros vs Acatlan played?
Halcones Negros vs Acatlan is played on November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Halcones Negros and Acatlan

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