Where and when is Acatlan vs Real Refineros played?

Acatlan vs Real Refineros is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Acatlan vs Real Refineros: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Zapotlanejo

Acatlan

Real Refineros

The Footlab model makes Real Refineros the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Acatlan. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Acatlan vs Real Refineros?

Acatlan win33 %

Draw23 %

Real Refineros win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acatlan have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Real Refineros have 0, 0 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Acatlan
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Cimarrones(home)	0-4	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026	Colima(home)	1-3	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026	Ensenada(away)	1-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 22, 2026	UA Zacatecas(home)	4-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 15, 2026	Durango(home)	0-3	Liga Premier Serie A

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Acatlan	26	6	1	19	39	73	21

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Acatlan vs Real Refineros?: The Footlab model makes Real Refineros the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Acatlan.
Where and when is Acatlan vs Real Refineros played?: Acatlan vs Real Refineros is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.