Real Apodaca vs Dragones de Oaxaca: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, Apodaca Centro
The Footlab AI model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Dragones de Oaxaca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Apodaca wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Apodaca vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Real Apodaca (1,902) and Dragones de Oaxaca (1,881).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Apodaca vs Dragones de Oaxaca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Apodaca
Not enough data to predict the Real Apodaca lineup.
Dragones de Oaxaca
Not enough data to predict the Dragones de Oaxaca lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Apodaca have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Dragones de Oaxaca have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Correcaminos UAT II(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vaqueros Reynosa(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez(away) | 1-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guerreros(home) | 2-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Acatlan(away) | 1-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Guerreros del Pacifico(home) | 5-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Refineros(home) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos(away) | 3-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cañoneros Marina(home) | 3-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Acambaro(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Apodaca score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Dragones de Oaxaca score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Apodaca | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Dragones de Oaxaca | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Apodaca sit 9th in Liga Premier Serie A (4 points from 7 matches) and Dragones de Oaxaca sit 2nd (18 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 18 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Real Apodaca vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Apodaca vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Dragones de Oaxaca.
- Where and when is Real Apodaca vs Dragones de Oaxaca played?
- Real Apodaca vs Dragones de Oaxaca is played on November 8, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026FC SantiagovsHalcones Negros
- Nov 7, 2026Héroes de ZacivsCalor de San Pedro
- Nov 7, 2026AcatlanvsReal Refineros
- Nov 7, 2026Correcaminos UAT IIvsDelfines Coatzacoalcos
- Nov 7, 2026Mineros de FresnillovsAcambaro
- Nov 7, 2026Atlético SaltillovsCiervos
- Nov 8, 2026La Tribu de Cd. JuarezvsCañoneros Marina
- Nov 8, 2026Vaqueros ReynosavsArtesanos Metepec