Match

FC Santiago vs Halcones Negros: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Complejo Capilla Soccer Park, San Antonio

FC SantiagoHalcones Negros

The Footlab AI model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Halcones Negros. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,547 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Santiago vs Halcones Negros?

FC Santiago starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,992 vs 1,844).

62%20%18%
FC Santiago winDrawHalcones Negros win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Santiago vs Halcones Negros

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Santiago

Not enough data to predict the FC Santiago lineup.

Halcones Negros

Not enough data to predict the Halcones Negros lineup.

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 02:23 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Santiago have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Halcones Negros have 5, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Santiago
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Ciervos(away)3-0Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 27, 2026Real Refineros(home)6-0Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 18, 2026Real Apodaca(home)3-0Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 11, 2026La Tribu de Cd. Juarez(away)2-0Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 4, 2026Guerreros(home)2-2Liga Premier Serie A
Halcones Negros
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2026Real Apodaca(home)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 25, 2026Guerreros(away)1-2Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 18, 2026Acambaro(home)0-6Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 10, 2026Real Refineros(away)3-2Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 3, 2026Ciervos(away)5-0Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

FC Santiago score 2.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Halcones Negros score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Santiago2.50.875/159/15
Halcones Negros2.21.454/108/10

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Santiago sit 2nd in Liga Premier Serie A (20 points from 10 matches) and Halcones Negros sit 6th (14 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2FC Santiago1061323720
6Halcones Negros9414211414

A question about FC Santiago vs Halcones Negros?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Santiago vs Halcones Negros?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Halcones Negros.
Where and when is FC Santiago vs Halcones Negros played?
FC Santiago vs Halcones Negros is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Complejo Capilla Soccer Park, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Santiago and Halcones Negros

Ready to know everything about football?