Accrington ST vs Barnet: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 32Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Wham Stadium, Accrington, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Barnet the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Accrington ST. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barnet wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Barnet?
Barnet starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,925 vs 1,726).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Accrington ST vs Barnet
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Accrington ST
3-1-4-2- 23T. Walton
- 39J. Woods
- 33D. Tutonda
- 38C. O'Brien
- 2D. Love
- 14Stefan Mols
- 10Alex Henderson
- 22J. Anderson
- 17D. Matthews
- 28S. Conneely
- 1L. Moulden
Barnet
4-2-3-1- 20K. Tshimanga
- 7T. Knowles
- 11I. Kanu
- 8C. Lakin
- 22O. Gallagher
- 23J. Reeves
- 6Z. Williams
- 5A. Senior
- 4D. Collinge
- 3R. Crichlow-Noble
- 13M. Cox
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Accrington ST have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Barnet have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sunderland U21(home) | 3-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Accrington ST wins, 1 draw, 3 Barnet wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Barnet 2-1 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Accrington ST 0-1 Barnet | League Two |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Barnet 2-0 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Accrington ST 1-0 Barnet | FA Cup |
| Feb 17, 2018 | Barnet 1-1 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Oct 28, 2017 | Accrington ST 4-1 Barnet | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Barnet vs Accrington ST on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Accrington ST score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Barnet score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accrington ST | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Barnet | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Accrington ST sit 15th in League Two (11 points from 10 matches) and Barnet sit 2nd (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 11 | 18 |
| 15 | Accrington ST | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
A question about Accrington ST vs Barnet?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Accrington ST vs Barnet?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barnet the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Accrington ST.
- Where and when is Accrington ST vs Barnet played?
- Accrington ST vs Barnet is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Wham Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.