Match

Exeter City vs Port Vale: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 32Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St James Park, Exeter, Devon

Exeter CityPort Vale

The Footlab AI model makes Exeter City the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Port Vale. The most likely score is 1-1. If Exeter City wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Exeter City vs Port Vale?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Exeter City (1,824) and Port Vale (1,840).

37%30%33%
Exeter City winDrawPort Vale win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Exeter City vs Port Vale

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Exeter City

4-2-3-1
  1. 10J. Gordon
  1. 16C. Cummins
  2. 31J. Doyle-Hayes
  3. 8T. Perry
  4. 20George Birch
  5. 25A. Scully
  1. 5J. Fitzwater
  2. 3L. Woodhouse
  3. 2L. Samuel
  4. 6J. Taylor
  1. 1J. Bycroft

Port Vale

3-5-2
  1. 11O. Hernández
  2. 36M. Watters
  1. 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
  2. 10K. Dempsey
  3. 3J. Headley
  4. 8B. Garrity
  5. 33G. Hall
  1. 5C. Hall
  2. 25C. Humphreys
  3. 4J. Moon
  1. 20M. Maroši

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:01 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Exeter City have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Port Vale have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Exeter City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Shrewsbury(away)1-0League Two
Oct 6, 2026Oxford United(home)2-2EFL Trophy
Oct 3, 2026Rotherham(home)1-0League Two
Sep 26, 2026Bristol Rovers(away)0-1League Two
Sep 22, 2026Cheltenham(away)2-2EFL Trophy
Port Vale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Grimsby(home)1-0League Two
Oct 6, 2026Mansfield Town(home)2-0EFL Trophy
Sep 22, 2026Chesterfield(away)1-1EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Walsall(away)0-2League Two
Sep 12, 2026Exeter City(home)1-0League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Exeter City wins, 0 draws, 4 Port Vale wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 12, 2026Port Vale 1-0 Exeter CityLeague Two
Jan 24, 2026Port Vale 1-3 Exeter CityLeague One
Sep 13, 2025Exeter City 0-2 Port ValeLeague One
Apr 13, 2024Port Vale 2-4 Exeter CityLeague One
Dec 9, 2023Exeter City 0-1 Port ValeLeague One
Feb 18, 2023Port Vale 1-0 Exeter CityLeague One

Last archived meeting: Port Vale vs Exeter City on Sep 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Exeter City score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Port Vale score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Exeter City0.90.965/153/15
Port Vale0.81.164/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Exeter City sit 14th in League Two (12 points from 10 matches) and Port Vale sit 22nd (8 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Exeter City103346612
22Port Vale8224498

A question about Exeter City vs Port Vale?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Exeter City vs Port Vale?
The Footlab AI model makes Exeter City the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Port Vale.
Where and when is Exeter City vs Port Vale played?
Exeter City vs Port Vale is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at St James Park, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Exeter City and Port Vale

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