Accrington ST vs Port Vale: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Wham Stadium, Accrington, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Accrington ST. The most likely score is 1-1. If Port Vale wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,229 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Port Vale?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Accrington ST (1,807) and Port Vale (1,881).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Accrington ST vs Port Vale
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Accrington ST
3-4-1-2- 23T. Walton
- 39J. Woods
- 38C. O'Brien
- 33D. Tutonda
- 14Stefan Mols
- 16Aidan Borland
- 10Alex Henderson
- 22J. Anderson
- 17D. Matthews
- 2D. Love
- 1L. Moulden
Port Vale
3-5-2- 11O. Hernández
- 36M. Watters
- 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
- 8B. Garrity
- 33G. Hall
- 3J. Headley
- 10K. Dempsey
- 5C. Hall
- 25C. Humphreys
- 4J. Moon
- 20M. Maroši
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 07:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Accrington ST have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Port Vale have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 5-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | York(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Mansfield Town(home) | 2-0 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Accrington ST win, 2 draws, 3 Port Vale wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2025 | Accrington ST 0-2 Port Vale | EFL Trophy |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Port Vale 2-1 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Accrington ST 2-2 Port Vale | League Two |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Accrington ST 3-0 Port Vale | League One |
| Feb 7, 2023 | Port Vale 1-1 Accrington ST | League One |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Port Vale 5-1 Accrington ST | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Accrington ST vs Port Vale on Oct 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Accrington ST score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Port Vale score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accrington ST | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Port Vale | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Accrington ST sit 13th in League Two (15 points from 12 matches) and Port Vale sit 20th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Accrington ST | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 15 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 12 |
A question about Accrington ST vs Port Vale?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Accrington ST vs Port Vale?
- The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Accrington ST.
- Where and when is Accrington ST vs Port Vale played?
- Accrington ST vs Port Vale is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Wham Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.