Bristol Rovers vs Grimsby: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 32Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Memorial Stadium, Bristol, Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Grimsby. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bristol Rovers wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Grimsby?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Bristol Rovers (1,762) and Grimsby (1,824).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bristol Rovers vs Grimsby
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1- 29F. Cavegn
- 6C. Mola
- 19E. Harrison
- 7S. Forde
- 24T. Leigh
- 21R. Smallwood
- 2T. James
- 4K. Balmer
- 17C. Kelly
- 14B. Purrington
- 1Brad Young
Grimsby
4-1-4-1- 39A. Cook
- 4K. Green
- 30C. Vernam
- 28F. Cartwright
- 14J. Amaluzor
- 15G. Turi
- 3J. Sweeney
- 5H. Rodgers
- 17C. McJannet
- 2M. Kacurri
- 31C. Pym
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol Rovers have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Grimsby have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Burton Albion(home) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Notts County(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Bristol Rovers wins, 1 draw, 1 Grimsby win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Grimsby 2-0 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Bristol Rovers 3-1 Grimsby | League Two |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Grimsby 0-1 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Feb 14, 2015 | Grimsby 0-1 Bristol Rovers | National League |
| Aug 9, 2014 | Bristol Rovers 0-0 Grimsby | National League |
Last archived meeting: Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bristol Rovers score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Grimsby score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Grimsby | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bristol Rovers sit 9th in League Two (15 points from 10 matches) and Grimsby sit 11th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
A question about Bristol Rovers vs Grimsby?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bristol Rovers vs Grimsby?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Grimsby.
- Where and when is Bristol Rovers vs Grimsby played?
- Bristol Rovers vs Grimsby is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Memorial Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.