Accrington ST vs Northampton: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Wham Stadium, Accrington, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Accrington ST the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Northampton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Accrington ST wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Northampton?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Accrington ST (1,774) and Northampton (1,715).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Accrington ST vs Northampton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Accrington ST
3-4-1-2- 39J. Woods
- 23T. Walton
- 38C. O'Brien
- 33D. Tutonda
- 2D. Love
- 14Stefan Mols
- 10Alex Henderson
- 17D. Matthews
- 28S. Conneely
- 25J. Smith
- 1L. Moulden
Northampton
4-4-2- 17N. Opoku
- 26S. Chambers
- 4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
- 14T. Fornah
- 20L. Briggs
- 19O. Dale
- 6E. Moore
- 16J. Wormleighton
- 5J. Guthrie
- 3J. Maxwell
- 1Z. Jeacock
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Accrington ST have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Northampton have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sunderland U21(home) | 3-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Accrington ST wins, 2 draws, 2 Northampton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2021 | Accrington ST 0-0 Northampton | League One |
| Nov 14, 2020 | Northampton 0-1 Accrington ST | League One |
| Dec 28, 2015 | Northampton 1-0 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Accrington ST 1-1 Northampton | League Two |
| Jan 31, 2015 | Accrington ST 1-5 Northampton | League Two |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Northampton 4-5 Accrington ST | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Accrington ST vs Northampton on Feb 6, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Accrington ST score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Northampton score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accrington ST | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Northampton | 0.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Accrington ST sit 16th in League Two (10 points from 9 matches) and Northampton sit 22nd (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Accrington ST | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 10 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
A question about Accrington ST vs Northampton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Accrington ST vs Northampton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Accrington ST the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Northampton.
- Where and when is Accrington ST vs Northampton played?
- Accrington ST vs Northampton is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Wham Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.