Match

Port Vale vs Rochdale: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire

Port ValeRochdale

The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Rochdale. The most likely score is 1-1. If Port Vale wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,947 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Port Vale vs Rochdale?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Port Vale (1,876) and Rochdale (1,923).

43%28%29%
Port Vale winDrawRochdale win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Port Vale vs Rochdale

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Port Vale

3-5-2
  1. 11O. Hernández
  2. 36M. Watters
  1. 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
  2. 8B. Garrity
  3. 33G. Hall
  4. 3J. Headley
  5. 10K. Dempsey
  1. 5C. Hall
  2. 25C. Humphreys
  3. 4J. Moon
  1. 20M. Maroši

Rochdale

4-2-3-1
  1. 39D. Brown
  1. 17B. Adeeko
  2. 8H. Gilmour
  3. 45G. Middleton
  4. 7C. Hayes
  5. 21Kane Taylor
  1. 3Kaiden Wilson
  2. 2C. Tasker
  3. 44A. Flint
  4. 13O. Adebayo-Rowling
  1. 20Sam William John Waller

Computed on October 22, 2026 at 12:06 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Port Vale have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Rochdale have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Port Vale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 20, 2026Gillingham(away)1-1League Two
Oct 17, 2026Chesterfield(home)1-0League Two
Oct 10, 2026Grimsby(home)1-0League Two
Oct 6, 2026Mansfield Town(home)2-0EFL Trophy
Sep 22, 2026Chesterfield(away)1-1EFL Trophy
Rochdale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 20, 2026Grimsby(home)2-2League Two
Oct 17, 2026Crewe(away)2-3League Two
Oct 10, 2026Tranmere(away)1-1League Two
Oct 6, 2026Huddersfield(away)0-5EFL Trophy
Oct 3, 2026Swindon Town(home)1-0League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Port Vale wins, 1 draw, 2 Rochdale wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 23, 2022Rochdale 2-3 Port ValeFriendlies Clubs
Feb 22, 2022Rochdale 1-1 Port ValeLeague Two
Oct 5, 2021Port Vale 1-0 RochdaleEFL Trophy
Sep 4, 2021Port Vale 2-3 RochdaleLeague Two
Aug 29, 2020Port Vale 2-1 RochdaleFriendlies Clubs
Apr 4, 2017Rochdale 3-0 Port ValeLeague One

Last archived meeting: Rochdale vs Port Vale on Jul 23, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Port Vale score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rochdale score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Port Vale0.70.974/152/15
Rochdale1.21.847/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Port Vale sit 20th in League Two (12 points from 10 matches) and Rochdale sit 14th (15 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Rochdale12435151715
20Port Vale1033461012

A question about Port Vale vs Rochdale?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Port Vale vs Rochdale?
The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Rochdale.
Where and when is Port Vale vs Rochdale played?
Port Vale vs Rochdale is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Vale Park, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Port Vale and Rochdale

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