Shrewsbury vs Gillingham: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury, Shropshire
The Footlab AI model makes Shrewsbury the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Gillingham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Shrewsbury wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Shrewsbury (1,732) and Gillingham (1,773).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shrewsbury vs Gillingham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shrewsbury
3-4-1-2- 9G. Lloyd
- 8Isaac Andrew Fletcher
- 10T. Sang
- 11K. Berkoe
- 2L. Hoole
- 7J. Turner-Cooke
- 18K. M. Brown
- 6S. Stubbs
- 5W. Boyle
- 3J. Ruffels
- 1William Michael Brook
Gillingham
3-4-2-1- 11L. Sillah
- 16J. Brophy
- 22N. Freeman
- 10Ronan Hale
- 24H. Waldock
- 14R. McKenzie
- 12G. McCleary
- 5A. Smith
- 26L. Dobbs
- 19O. Beckles
- 1O. Wright
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shrewsbury have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Gillingham have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 0-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | York(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tranmere(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Shrewsbury win, 4 draws, 1 Gillingham win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Gillingham 1-0 Shrewsbury | League Two |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Shrewsbury 3-3 Gillingham | League Two |
| Jan 25, 2022 | Gillingham 0-0 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Shrewsbury 2-1 Gillingham | League One |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Gillingham 0-0 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Oct 3, 2020 | Shrewsbury 1-1 Gillingham | League One |
Last archived meeting: Gillingham vs Shrewsbury on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shrewsbury score 0.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gillingham score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Gillingham | 1.2 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shrewsbury sit 14th in League Two (11 points from 9 matches) and Gillingham sit 10th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gillingham | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| 14 | Shrewsbury | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 11 |
A question about Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Shrewsbury the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Gillingham.
- Where and when is Shrewsbury vs Gillingham played?
- Shrewsbury vs Gillingham is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Croud Meadow, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.