Achilles Veen vs Dongen: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Hanen Weide, Veen
The Footlab model makes Achilles Veen the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Dongen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Achilles Veen vs Dongen?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Achilles Veen (1,736) and Dongen (1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Achilles Veen have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Dongen have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Noordwijk(home) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Lisse(away) | 1-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Kozakken Boys(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 2-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 3, 2024 | Harkemase Boys(home) | 2-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | EVV(away) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zwaluwen(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Heerjansdam(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Heerjansdam(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| May 30, 2026 | SVV Scheveningen(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
How many goals should we expect?
Achilles Veen score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dongen score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Achilles Veen | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Dongen | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Achilles Veen sit 18th in Derde Divisie (0 points from 2 matches) and Dongen sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dongen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 18 | Achilles Veen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Achilles Veen vs Dongen?
- The Footlab model makes Achilles Veen the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Dongen.
- Where and when is Achilles Veen vs Dongen played?
- Achilles Veen vs Dongen is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Hanen Weide, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.