Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnvogels: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Dijkpolder, Maassluis
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior Maassluis the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Rijnvogels. The most likely score is 1-1. If Excelsior Maassluis wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnvogels?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Excelsior Maassluis (1,935) and Rijnvogels (1,876).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnvogels
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Excelsior Maassluis
4-3-3- 27D. Plank
- 17D. Slagveer
- 9B. Wennekers
- 30Y. Hamd
- 8J. Udenhout
- 21N. Nagtegaal
- 24D. Lopes Varela
- 12B. Riley
- 4D. Heuvelman
- 29S. Smits
- 16K. El Fakiri
Rijnvogels
4-3-3- 9M. van der Meer
- 10Boris van der Wiel
- 22N. Haddadi
- 6Jay Zandbergen
- 8Jesse Driebergen
- 11Y. Kaabouni
- 4K. Michel
- 2K. Gómez-Nieto
- 5J. Scholten
- 26D. van der Plas
- 23D. van de Riet
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 01:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior Maassluis have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Rijnvogels have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | EVV(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Zwaluwen(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Blauw Geel(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Achilles Veen(away) | 4-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Noordwijk(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Lisse(away) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Groene Ster(home) | 5-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Excelsior Maassluis win, 0 draws, 1 Rijnvogels win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis 2-1 Rijnvogels | Tweede Divisie |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Rijnvogels 2-1 Excelsior Maassluis | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnvogels on Jun 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior Maassluis score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Rijnvogels score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior Maassluis | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Rijnvogels | 2.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior Maassluis sit 3rd in Derde Divisie (26 points from 11 matches) and Rijnvogels sit 4th (23 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Excelsior Maassluis | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 23 |
A question about Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnvogels?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnvogels?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior Maassluis the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Rijnvogels.
- Where and when is Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnvogels played?
- Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnvogels is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Dijkpolder, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.