Zwaluwen vs Blauw Geel: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Zwaluwenlaan, Vlaardingen
The Footlab AI model makes Zwaluwen the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Blauw Geel. The most likely score is 1-1. If Zwaluwen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,488 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zwaluwen vs Blauw Geel?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Zwaluwen (1,820) and Blauw Geel (1,741).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Zwaluwen vs Blauw Geel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Zwaluwen
4-3-3- 8Robin Hofman
- 17Ricardo Merrelaar
- 12Raoul Gillet
- 13Jesper Gudde
- 2Mario Nijgh
- 10Jerry Scholman
- 6Erwin de Groot
- 14Nick Rutten
- 18Floris Keizerwaard
- 15Youri Verschoor
- 23Marvin van Tienen
Blauw Geel
4-2-3-1- 9L. Loermans
- 11Koen van der Zanden
- 7B. van den Nieuwenhof
- 6M. van Rosmalen
- 9D. de Meij
- 8H. van Dijk
- 3R. Voets
- 4D. Arts
- 5B. Eltink
- 4M. Zeller
- 1J. Zielschot
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zwaluwen have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Blauw Geel have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Achilles Veen(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Noordwijk(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | TOGB(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Poortugaal(home) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UNA(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Zwaluwen win, 1 draw, 0 Blauw Geel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Zwaluwen 3-0 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Blauw Geel 2-2 Zwaluwen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
Last archived meeting: Zwaluwen vs Blauw Geel on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zwaluwen score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Blauw Geel score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zwaluwen | 2.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Blauw Geel | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zwaluwen sit 6th in Derde Divisie (19 points from 11 matches) and Blauw Geel sit 11th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zwaluwen | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 19 |
| 11 | Blauw Geel | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
A question about Zwaluwen vs Blauw Geel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zwaluwen vs Blauw Geel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zwaluwen the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Blauw Geel.
- Where and when is Zwaluwen vs Blauw Geel played?
- Zwaluwen vs Blauw Geel is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Zwaluwenlaan, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.