ACV vs ADO '20: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Catawiki Sportpark, Assen
The Footlab model makes ACV the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for ADO '20. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ACV vs ADO '20?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate ACV (1,809) and ADO '20 (1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ACV have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; ADO '20 have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | TEC(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 4-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Quick Boys(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eemdijk(away) | 1-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hercules(home) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(home) | 0-7 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 ACV win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 ADO '20 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2025 | ADO '20 0-1 ACV | Tweede Divisie |
| Dec 14, 2024 | ACV 2-0 ADO '20 | Tweede Divisie |
| Mar 30, 2024 | ACV 2-2 ADO '20 | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 28, 2023 | ADO '20 1-2 ACV | Tweede Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
ACV score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; ADO '20 score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACV | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| ADO '20 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ACV sit 3rd in Derde Divisie (6 points from 2 matches) and ADO '20 sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ACV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | ADO '20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ACV vs ADO '20?
- The Footlab model makes ACV the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for ADO '20.
- Where and when is ACV vs ADO '20 played?
- ACV vs ADO '20 is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Catawiki Sportpark, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.