ACV vs Excelsior '31: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Catawiki Sportpark, Assen
The Footlab AI model makes ACV the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Excelsior '31. The most likely score is 1-1. If ACV wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ACV vs Excelsior '31?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate ACV (1,822) and Excelsior '31 (1,782).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ACV vs Excelsior '31
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ACV
4-3-3- 18J. Schraven
- 7G. Jasper
- 27T. Lemmen
- 24Ties Oostra
- 20T. van der Werff
- 11J. Mulder
- 4Y. Hettinga
- 5E. Mansaray
- 3N. Wielink
- 28K. Bannani
- 26M. Wolfs
Excelsior '31
Not enough data to predict the Excelsior '31 lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ACV have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Excelsior '31 have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Purmersteijn(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | VV Scherpenzeel(away) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | SVZW(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Hoogeveen(home) | 2-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Staphorst(away) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AFC '34(home) | 4-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hoogeveen(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 ACV win, 1 draw, 2 Excelsior '31 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | ACV 1-1 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Excelsior '31 0-2 ACV | Derde Divisie |
| May 28, 2022 | ACV 0-2 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Excelsior '31 3-0 ACV | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
ACV score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior '31 score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACV | 2.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Excelsior '31 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ACV sit 3rd in Derde Divisie (20 points from 9 matches) and Excelsior '31 sit 5th (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ACV | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 | Excelsior '31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 19 |
A question about ACV vs Excelsior '31?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ACV vs Excelsior '31?
- The Footlab AI model makes ACV the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Excelsior '31.
- Where and when is ACV vs Excelsior '31 played?
- ACV vs Excelsior '31 is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Catawiki Sportpark, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.