Excelsior '31 vs Sparta Nijkerk: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Koerbelt, Rijssen
The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Nijkerk the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Excelsior '31. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sparta Nijkerk wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior '31 vs Sparta Nijkerk?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Excelsior '31 (1,869) and Sparta Nijkerk (1,880).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Excelsior '31 vs Sparta Nijkerk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Excelsior '31
4-3-3- 21S. Holsink
- 9S. Seppenwoolde
- 11K. Wesselink
- 8N. Leemhuis
- 10S. ter Haar
- 20M. de Wilde
- 12M. Schrijver
- 3A. de Jong
- 5V. Schmidt
- 2S. Beverdam
- 1K. Reimink
Sparta Nijkerk
4-3-3- 7T. Pieters
- 29T. Buitink
- 10M. Magan
- 8P. Vroegh
- 9W. Vink
- 21J. van Dalen
- 4J. Makizodila
- 28Jorrit Fiegen
- 14T. van Dijk
- 18K. Hugo
- 34I. Bouwman
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 04:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior '31 have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Sparta Nijkerk have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 1-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Harkemase Boys(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 5-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Hoek(away) | 2-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Hoogeveen(home) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Purmersteijn(away) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | VV Scherpenzeel(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | SVZW(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Excelsior '31 wins, 1 draw, 3 Sparta Nijkerk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Excelsior '31 3-2 Sparta Nijkerk | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Sparta Nijkerk 4-3 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Sparta Nijkerk 0-2 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Excelsior '31 2-4 Sparta Nijkerk | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Excelsior '31 1-2 Sparta Nijkerk | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 6, 2022 | Sparta Nijkerk 1-1 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior '31 vs Sparta Nijkerk on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior '31 score 2.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Nijkerk score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior '31 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Sparta Nijkerk | 2.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior '31 sit 5th in Derde Divisie (22 points from 11 matches) and Sparta Nijkerk sit 9th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Excelsior '31 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 13 | 22 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 17 |
A question about Excelsior '31 vs Sparta Nijkerk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior '31 vs Sparta Nijkerk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Nijkerk the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Excelsior '31.
- Where and when is Excelsior '31 vs Sparta Nijkerk played?
- Excelsior '31 vs Sparta Nijkerk is played on April 17, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Koerbelt, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.