Noordwijk vs Dongen: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Duinwetering, Noordwijk
The Footlab AI model makes Noordwijk the favourite at 79%, against 13% for a draw and 8% for Dongen. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,525 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Noordwijk vs Dongen?
Noordwijk starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (1,835 vs 1,623).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Noordwijk vs Dongen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Noordwijk
4-3-3- 31E. Wendt
- 11V. Tjin-Asjoe
- 18R. Marbus
- 3D. Reinders
- 8B. Franken
- 19D. Bakker
- 37K. Groot
- 20Neto
- 5J. Strooker
- 22T. Zethof
- 44J. Roggeveen
Dongen
4-3-3- 17M. van Bree
- 15A. Sesay
- 11R. Siemerink
- 10F. Kamaçi
- 8T. Avontuur
- 4T. Martens
- 6L. Hultermans
- 14S. Spijkers
- 12J. Gerrits
- 20P. Scheerlinck
- 22S. Heijstee
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noordwijk have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Dongen have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | EVV(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Zwaluwen(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Frisia(home) | 1-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | TOGB(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Poortugaal(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UNA(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Blauw Geel(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | GOES(home) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Noordwijk score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dongen score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noordwijk | 1.9 | 0.7 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Dongen | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Noordwijk sit 1st in Derde Divisie (22 points from 9 matches) and Dongen sit 8th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noordwijk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
| 8 | Dongen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 13 |
A question about Noordwijk vs Dongen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Noordwijk vs Dongen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Noordwijk the favourite at 79%, against 13% for a draw and 8% for Dongen.
- Where and when is Noordwijk vs Dongen played?
- Noordwijk vs Dongen is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Duinwetering, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.