Excelsior Maassluis vs Gemert: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Dijkpolder, Maassluis
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior Maassluis the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Gemert. The most likely score is 1-1. If Excelsior Maassluis wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior Maassluis vs Gemert?
On Elo ratings, Excelsior Maassluis has 1,862 points and Gemert 1,793.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Excelsior Maassluis vs Gemert
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Excelsior Maassluis
4-3-3- 27D. Plank
- 17D. Slagveer
- 9B. Wennekers
- 30Y. Hamd
- 8J. Udenhout
- 21N. Nagtegaal
- 24D. Lopes Varela
- 12B. Riley
- 4D. Heuvelman
- 29S. Smits
- 16K. El Fakiri
Gemert
4-3-3- 7R. Kemper
- 15Wout Barten
- 19Hazem Ben Rouba
- 9D. van Diepen
- 14M. Crommentuijn
- 8Brent Achten
- 4Lex Van Dijk
- 21Gijs Vercoelen
- 6Max Verkuijl
- 23T. Mezenberg
- 1Jeroen Keeris
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior Maassluis have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Gemert have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Blauw Geel(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 2-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Roosendaal(home) | 5-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Noordwijk(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | FC Lisse(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Groene Ster(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 3-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 20, 2026 | UDI '19(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior Maassluis score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gemert score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior Maassluis | 2.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Gemert | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior Maassluis sit 4th in Derde Divisie (20 points from 9 matches) and Gemert sit 11th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 20 |
| 11 | Gemert | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 10 |
A question about Excelsior Maassluis vs Gemert?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior Maassluis vs Gemert?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior Maassluis the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Gemert.
- Where and when is Excelsior Maassluis vs Gemert played?
- Excelsior Maassluis vs Gemert is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Dijkpolder, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.