ACV vs Hercules: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Catawiki Sportpark, Assen
The Footlab AI model makes ACV the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Hercules. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ACV vs Hercules?
ACV starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,822 vs 1,703).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ACV vs Hercules
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ACV
4-3-3- 18J. Schraven
- 7G. Jasper
- 27T. Lemmen
- 24Ties Oostra
- 20T. van der Werff
- 11J. Mulder
- 4Y. Hettinga
- 5E. Mansaray
- 3N. Wielink
- 28K. Bannani
- 26M. Wolfs
Hercules
Not enough data to predict the Hercules lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ACV have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Hercules have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Purmersteijn(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | VV Scherpenzeel(away) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | SVZW(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Hoogeveen(home) | 2-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Staphorst(away) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | TEC(home) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 ACV win, 1 draw, 2 Hercules wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Hercules 0-3 ACV | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2023 | ACV 1-5 Hercules | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Hercules 1-1 ACV | KNVB Beker |
| Aug 19, 2017 | ACV 0-3 Hercules | KNVB Beker |
How many goals should we expect?
ACV score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hercules score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACV | 2.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Hercules | 1.4 | 1.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ACV sit 3rd in Derde Divisie (20 points from 9 matches) and Hercules sit 12th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ACV | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 20 |
| 12 | Hercules | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 10 |
A question about ACV vs Hercules?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ACV vs Hercules?
- The Footlab AI model makes ACV the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Hercules.
- Where and when is ACV vs Hercules played?
- ACV vs Hercules is played on January 30, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Catawiki Sportpark, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.