Excelsior '31 vs VV Scherpenzeel: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Koerbelt, Rijssen
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior '31 the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for VV Scherpenzeel. The most likely score is 1-1. If Excelsior '31 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,709 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior '31 vs VV Scherpenzeel?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Excelsior '31 (1,869) and VV Scherpenzeel (1,885).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Excelsior '31 vs VV Scherpenzeel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Excelsior '31
4-3-3- 21S. Holsink
- 9S. Seppenwoolde
- 11K. Wesselink
- 8N. Leemhuis
- 10S. ter Haar
- 20M. de Wilde
- 12M. Schrijver
- 3A. de Jong
- 5V. Schmidt
- 2S. Beverdam
- 1K. Reimink
VV Scherpenzeel
4-3-3- 8Mark de Graaf
- 11L. ten Teije
- 10P. Biya
- 21Timo Jochemsen
- 15Tristan Wallet
- 19J. Rebergen
- 18B. Beijer
- 25C. Davelaar
- 17M. Marbouh
- 12Guido den Daas
- 1S. Brummel
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 12:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior '31 have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; VV Scherpenzeel have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 1-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Harkemase Boys(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 5-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | TEC(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | ACV(home) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Harkemase Boys(away) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Excelsior '31 wins, 0 draws, 3 VV Scherpenzeel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | VV Scherpenzeel 3-1 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Excelsior '31 0-1 VV Scherpenzeel | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2025 | VV Scherpenzeel 2-0 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: VV Scherpenzeel vs Excelsior '31 on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior '31 score 2.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; VV Scherpenzeel score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior '31 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| VV Scherpenzeel | 1.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior '31 sit 5th in Derde Divisie (22 points from 11 matches) and VV Scherpenzeel sit 3rd (24 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | Excelsior '31 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 13 | 22 |
A question about Excelsior '31 vs VV Scherpenzeel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior '31 vs VV Scherpenzeel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior '31 the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for VV Scherpenzeel.
- Where and when is Excelsior '31 vs VV Scherpenzeel played?
- Excelsior '31 vs VV Scherpenzeel is played on January 30, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Koerbelt, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.