Hercules vs Sparta Nijkerk: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Voordorp (USV Hercules), Utrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Nijkerk the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Hercules. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sparta Nijkerk wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hercules vs Sparta Nijkerk?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Hercules (1,753) and Sparta Nijkerk (1,846).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hercules vs Sparta Nijkerk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hercules
Not enough data to predict the Hercules lineup.
Sparta Nijkerk
4-3-3- 7T. Pieters
- 29T. Buitink
- 10M. Magan
- 8P. Vroegh
- 9W. Vink
- 21J. van Dalen
- 4J. Makizodila
- 28Jorrit Fiegen
- 14T. van Dijk
- 18K. Hugo
- 34I. Bouwman
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 05:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hercules have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sparta Nijkerk have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Staphorst(home) | 4-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Eemdijk(away) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Hoek(away) | 2-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Hoogeveen(home) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Purmersteijn(away) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | VV Scherpenzeel(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | SVZW(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hercules wins, 1 draw, 2 Sparta Nijkerk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk 1-2 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Hercules 1-0 Sparta Nijkerk | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Sparta Nijkerk 5-0 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Sparta Nijkerk 1-1 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Hercules 0-5 Sparta Nijkerk | Derde Divisie |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Sparta Nijkerk 2-5 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Nijkerk vs Hercules on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hercules score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Nijkerk score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hercules | 1.5 | 1.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Sparta Nijkerk | 2.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hercules sit 12th in Derde Divisie (13 points from 11 matches) and Sparta Nijkerk sit 9th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 17 |
| 12 | Hercules | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 13 |
A question about Hercules vs Sparta Nijkerk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hercules vs Sparta Nijkerk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Nijkerk the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Hercules.
- Where and when is Hercules vs Sparta Nijkerk played?
- Hercules vs Sparta Nijkerk is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Voordorp (USV Hercules), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.