Hercules vs Sparta Nijkerk: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Voordorp (USV Hercules), Utrecht
The Footlab model makes Sparta Nijkerk the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Hercules. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hercules vs Sparta Nijkerk?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Hercules (1,733) and Sparta Nijkerk (1,800).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hercules have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sparta Nijkerk have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rijnsburgse Boys(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | TEC(away) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Harkemase Boys(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TEC(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 3-3 | Derde Divisie |
| May 30, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 27, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(home) | 0-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Eemdijk(home) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hercules win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sparta Nijkerk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Hercules 1-0 Sparta Nijkerk | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Sparta Nijkerk 5-0 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Sparta Nijkerk 1-1 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Hercules 0-5 Sparta Nijkerk | Derde Divisie |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Sparta Nijkerk 2-5 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Hercules 0-2 Sparta Nijkerk | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Hercules vs Sparta Nijkerk on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hercules score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Nijkerk score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hercules | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Sparta Nijkerk | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hercules sit 18th in Derde Divisie (0 points from 2 matches) and Sparta Nijkerk sit 14th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Sparta Nijkerk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 18 | Hercules | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hercules vs Sparta Nijkerk?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Nijkerk the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Hercules.
- Where and when is Hercules vs Sparta Nijkerk played?
- Hercules vs Sparta Nijkerk is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Voordorp (USV Hercules), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.