Noordwijk vs Excelsior Maassluis: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Duinwetering, Noordwijk
The Footlab AI model makes Noordwijk the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Excelsior Maassluis. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,974 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Noordwijk vs Excelsior Maassluis?
On Elo ratings, Noordwijk has 1,889 points and Excelsior Maassluis 1,903.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Noordwijk vs Excelsior Maassluis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Noordwijk
4-3-3- 31E. Wendt
- 11V. Tjin-Asjoe
- 18R. Marbus
- 3D. Reinders
- 8B. Franken
- 19D. Bakker
- 37K. Groot
- 20Neto
- 5J. Strooker
- 22T. Zethof
- 44J. Roggeveen
Excelsior Maassluis
4-3-3- 27D. Plank
- 17D. Slagveer
- 9B. Wennekers
- 30Y. Hamd
- 8J. Udenhout
- 21N. Nagtegaal
- 24D. Lopes Varela
- 12B. Riley
- 4D. Heuvelman
- 29S. Smits
- 16K. El Fakiri
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 02:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noordwijk have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Excelsior Maassluis have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | EVV(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Zwaluwen(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Frisia(home) | 1-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Zwaluwen(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Blauw Geel(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 2-0 | KNVB Beker |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Noordwijk wins, 4 draws, 2 Excelsior Maassluis wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis 0-0 Noordwijk | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Noordwijk 2-2 Excelsior Maassluis | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Excelsior Maassluis 1-1 Noordwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Excelsior Maassluis 1-0 Noordwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Noordwijk 1-1 Excelsior Maassluis | Tweede Divisie |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Excelsior Maassluis 2-1 Noordwijk | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior Maassluis vs Noordwijk on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Noordwijk score 1.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior Maassluis score 2.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noordwijk | 1.9 | 0.6 | 11 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Excelsior Maassluis | 2.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Noordwijk sit 1st in Derde Divisie (25 points from 10 matches) and Excelsior Maassluis sit 3rd (23 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noordwijk | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 3 | Excelsior Maassluis | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 23 |
A question about Noordwijk vs Excelsior Maassluis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Noordwijk vs Excelsior Maassluis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Noordwijk the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Excelsior Maassluis.
- Where and when is Noordwijk vs Excelsior Maassluis played?
- Noordwijk vs Excelsior Maassluis is played on January 30, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Duinwetering, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.