AD Ceuta FC vs Mallorca: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónMatchday 26Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta
The Footlab AI model makes Mallorca the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for AD Ceuta FC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mallorca wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,188 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Mallorca?
Mallorca starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (2,156 vs 1,956).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AD Ceuta FC vs Mallorca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AD Ceuta FC
4-3-3- 8Kuki
- 11Cedric Teguia
- 9Jordi Escobar
- 10Marino Illescas
- 20Álex Meléndez
- 14Y. Bodiger
- 6Carlos Hernández
- 4Albert Caparrós
- 3José Matos
- 5Adrián Lapeña
- 1Pedro López
Mallorca
4-4-2- 18Fuentes
- 20Pablo Torre
- 7Álex Sala
- 33Adrian Liso
- 10Darder
- 11Zito Luvumbo
- 21Raíllo
- 5Alberto Moreno
- 6Antonio Sánchez
- 24M. Valjent
- 1Arnau Tenas
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 05:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AD Ceuta FC have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Mallorca have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 2-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 AD Ceuta FC wins, 0 draws, 1 Mallorca win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Mallorca 3-0 AD Ceuta FC | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC on Aug 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AD Ceuta FC score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mallorca score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AD Ceuta FC | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Mallorca | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AD Ceuta FC sit 22nd in Segunda División (5 points from 13 matches) and Mallorca sit 5th (23 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mallorca | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 23 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 5 |
A question about AD Ceuta FC vs Mallorca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AD Ceuta FC vs Mallorca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mallorca the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for AD Ceuta FC.
- Where and when is AD Ceuta FC vs Mallorca played?
- AD Ceuta FC vs Mallorca is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.