AD Ceuta FC vs Mallorca: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta
The Footlab model makes Mallorca the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for AD Ceuta FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Mallorca?
Mallorca starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (2,053 vs 1,934).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AD Ceuta FC have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Mallorca have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 1-5 | Segunda División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Granada CF(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
AD Ceuta FC score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mallorca score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AD Ceuta FC | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Mallorca | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AD Ceuta FC sit 22nd in Segunda División (0 points from 2 matches) and Mallorca sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mallorca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AD Ceuta FC vs Mallorca?
- The Footlab model makes Mallorca the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for AD Ceuta FC.
- Where and when is AD Ceuta FC vs Mallorca played?
- AD Ceuta FC vs Mallorca is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.