Valladolid vs Sporting Gijon: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, Valladolid
The Footlab AI model makes Valladolid the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Sporting Gijon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Valladolid wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,695 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valladolid vs Sporting Gijon?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Valladolid (1,919) and Sporting Gijon (1,994).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Valladolid vs Sporting Gijon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Valladolid
4-1-3-2- 9Juanmi Latasa
- 19Adrian Arnuncio
- 21J. Ponceau
- 30Víctor Fernández
- 24S. Jurić
- 8T. Ojeda
- 4David Torres
- 27Iván Garriel
- 14Iván Alejo
- 15Pablo Tomeo
- 1Álvaro Aceves
Sporting Gijon
4-4-2- 27Enol Prendes
- 16A. Sarco
- 14Álex Corredera
- 8M. Rodriguez
- 10César Gelabert
- 7Gaspar Campos
- 2Guille Rosas
- 44Andrés Cuenca
- 23Jorge Sáenz
- 4E. Gularte
- 1Rubén Yáñez
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valladolid have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sporting Gijon have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 5-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Valladolid wins, 2 draws, 1 Sporting Gijon win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting Gijon 2-4 Valladolid | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Sporting Gijon 2-2 Valladolid | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Valladolid 2-3 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Sporting Gijon 1-1 Valladolid | Segunda División |
| Aug 11, 2023 | Valladolid 2-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Jan 28, 2022 | Valladolid 1-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valladolid score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Gijon score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Sporting Gijon | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valladolid sit 11th in Segunda División (12 points from 9 matches) and Sporting Gijon sit 4th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sporting Gijon | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 19 |
| 11 | Valladolid | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
A question about Valladolid vs Sporting Gijon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valladolid vs Sporting Gijon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Valladolid the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Sporting Gijon.
- Where and when is Valladolid vs Sporting Gijon played?
- Valladolid vs Sporting Gijon is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.