Albacete vs Castellón: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete
The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Albacete. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castellón wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,856 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Albacete vs Castellón?
Castellón starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (2,089 vs 1,895).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Albacete vs Castellón
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Albacete
4-4-2- 9Mario Soberón
- 19Alex Rubio
- 17José Corpas
- 6Antonio Pacheco
- 11Víctor Valverde
- 14San Bartolomé
- 21Carlos Neva
- 22Lluís López
- 24Vallejo
- 15Fran Gámez
- 13Diego Mariño
Castellón
4-4-2- 10Israel Suero
- 16A. Jakobsen
- 8Barri
- 18Pablo Santiago
- 6M. Orozco
- 21Álvaro Martín
- 5Alberto Jiménez
- 4A. Sienra
- 22J. Mellot
- 14Iñigo Córdoba
- 13R. Matthys
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albacete have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Castellón have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Valladolid(away) | 0-5 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Girona(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 5-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Albacete wins, 3 draws, 1 Castellón win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Castellón 2-0 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Albacete 1-1 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Castellón 0-1 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Castellón 2-2 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Albacete 0-0 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Castellón 2-6 Albacete | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Albacete score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Castellón score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Castellón | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Albacete sit 22nd in Segunda División (1 point from 10 matches) and Castellón sit 2nd (23 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Castellón | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 23 |
| 22 | Albacete | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 1 |
A question about Albacete vs Castellón?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Albacete vs Castellón?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Albacete.
- Where and when is Albacete vs Castellón played?
- Albacete vs Castellón is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Carlos Belmonte, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.