Albacete vs Castellón: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete
The Footlab model makes Castellón the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Albacete. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Albacete vs Castellón?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Albacete (1,955) and Castellón (2,015).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albacete have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Castellón have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Levante(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Levante(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hércules(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Alaves(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Albacete win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Castellón win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Albacete 1-1 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Castellón 0-1 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Castellón 2-2 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Albacete 0-0 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Castellón 2-6 Albacete | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Castellón 0-0 Albacete | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Albacete vs Castellón on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Albacete score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Castellón score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Castellón | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Albacete sit 20th in Segunda División (0 points from 2 matches) and Castellón sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Castellón | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 20 | Albacete | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Albacete vs Castellón?
- The Footlab model makes Castellón the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Albacete.
- Where and when is Albacete vs Castellón played?
- Albacete vs Castellón is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Carlos Belmonte, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.