Match

Adama Kenema vs Mekelakeya: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Adama Stadium, Nazreth

Adama KenemaMekelakeya

The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 45%, against 32% for a draw and 23% for Adama Kenema. The most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,818 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Adama Kenema vs Mekelakeya?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Adama Kenema (1,490) and Mekelakeya (1,587).

23%32%45%
Adama Kenema winDrawMekelakeya win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Adama Kenema vs Mekelakeya

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Adama Kenema

4-3-3
  1. 18Abubeker Sani
  2. 15A. Elias
  3. 12D. Hotessa
  1. 16A. Sisay
  2. 25W. Gadissa
  3. 9N. Nuri
  1. 29Mujib Kassim Hamza
  2. 6M. Abdulkarim
  3. 21S. Yohannes
  4. 15M. Awol
  1. 1A. Markos

Mekelakeya

4-3-3
  1. 27A. Yigzaw
  2. 14Mohammed Abera
  3. 35C. Kudjoe
  1. 7Bereket Desta Dana
  2. 10Abdulkarim Worku
  3. 19C. Gugsa
  1. 6G. Hagos
  2. 34N. Hailu
  3. 2F. Jemal
  4. 22C. Menberu
  1. 1Nafian Legason Alionzi

Computed on October 29, 2026 at 12:11 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adama Kenema have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Mekelakeya have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Adama Kenema
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2026Negelle Arsi(away)0-1Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Kedus Giorgis(away)1-1Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Sheger Ketema(home)0-0Premier League
Oct 9, 2026Mebrat Hayl(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 4, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)3-2Premier League
Mekelakeya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 27, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(away)3-1Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Gamo Chencha(away)1-0Premier League
Oct 18, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 4, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(home)0-0Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Adama Kenema wins, 1 draw, 5 Mekelakeya wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 4, 2026Mekelakeya 0-0 Adama KenemaPremier League
Dec 26, 2025Adama Kenema 1-3 MekelakeyaPremier League
Apr 21, 2025Adama Kenema 0-2 MekelakeyaPremier League
Nov 4, 2024Mekelakeya 2-0 Adama KenemaPremier League
Jun 30, 2024Adama Kenema 0-3 MekelakeyaPremier League
Dec 8, 2023Mekelakeya 2-1 Adama KenemaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Mekelakeya vs Adama Kenema on May 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Adama Kenema score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mekelakeya score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Adama Kenema0.90.965/154/15
Mekelakeya0.90.784/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Adama Kenema sit 8th in Premier League (5 points from 4 matches) and Mekelakeya sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Mekelakeya3201216
8Adama Kenema4121225

A question about Adama Kenema vs Mekelakeya?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Adama Kenema vs Mekelakeya?
The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 45%, against 32% for a draw and 23% for Adama Kenema.
Where and when is Adama Kenema vs Mekelakeya played?
Adama Kenema vs Mekelakeya is played on May 1, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Adama Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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