Match

Sheger Ketema vs Mekelakeya: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 5, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)

Sheger KetemaMekelakeya

The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Sheger Ketema. The most likely score is 0-0. If Mekelakeya wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,805 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sheger Ketema vs Mekelakeya?

A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Sheger Ketema (1,540) and Mekelakeya (1,587).

30%34%36%
Sheger Ketema winDrawMekelakeya win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sheger Ketema vs Mekelakeya

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sheger Ketema

Not enough data to predict the Sheger Ketema lineup.

Mekelakeya

4-3-3
  1. 27A. Yigzaw
  2. 14Mohammed Abera
  3. 35C. Kudjoe
  1. 7Bereket Desta Dana
  2. 10Abdulkarim Worku
  3. 19C. Gugsa
  1. 6G. Hagos
  2. 34N. Hailu
  3. 2F. Jemal
  4. 22C. Menberu
  1. 1Nafian Legason Alionzi

Computed on October 29, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheger Ketema have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Mekelakeya have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sheger Ketema
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2026Kedus Giorgis(away)2-2Premier League
Oct 20, 2026Mebrat Hayl(away)0-1Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Adama Kenema(away)0-0Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Ethiopia Bunna(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 4, 2026Suhul Shire(away)2-0Premier League
Mekelakeya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 27, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(away)3-1Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Gamo Chencha(away)1-0Premier League
Oct 18, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 4, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(home)0-0Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Sheger Ketema wins, 0 draws, 0 Mekelakeya wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 28, 2026Sheger Ketema 2-0 MekelakeyaPremier League
Jan 31, 2026Mekelakeya 0-1 Sheger KetemaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Sheger Ketema vs Mekelakeya on Jun 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sheger Ketema score 0.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Mekelakeya score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sheger Ketema0.90.693/152/15
Mekelakeya0.90.784/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sheger Ketema sit 7th in Premier League (5 points from 4 matches) and Mekelakeya sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Mekelakeya3201216
7Sheger Ketema4121335

A question about Sheger Ketema vs Mekelakeya?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sheger Ketema vs Mekelakeya?
The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Sheger Ketema.
Where and when is Sheger Ketema vs Mekelakeya played?
Sheger Ketema vs Mekelakeya is played on May 5, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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