Where and when is Kastamonuspor vs Erbaaspor played?

Kastamonuspor vs Erbaaspor is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kastamonu Gazi Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kastamonuspor vs Erbaaspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kastamonu Gazi Stadyumu, Kastamonu

Kastamonuspor

Erbaaspor

The Footlab model makes Kastamonuspor the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Erbaaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kastamonuspor vs Erbaaspor?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Kastamonuspor (1,653) and Erbaaspor (1,600).

Kastamonuspor win42 %

Draw26 %

Erbaaspor win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kastamonuspor have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Erbaaspor have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kastamonuspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Muğlaspor(home)	0-3	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Şanlıurfaspor(away)	2-5	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Karaman FK(home)	2-2	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Karacabey Belediyespor(away)	0-4	2. Lig
Mar 29, 2026	Batman Petrolspor(home)	1-2	2. Lig

Erbaaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away)	1-3	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Ankaragücü(home)	1-1	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Elazığspor(away)	0-3	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Adana 01 FK(home)	0-2	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	24 Erzincanspor(away)	2-3	2. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kastamonuspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Erbaaspor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 8, 2026	Kastamonuspor 1-1 Erbaaspor	2. Lig
Sep 28, 2025	Erbaaspor 2-3 Kastamonuspor	2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Kastamonuspor vs Erbaaspor on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Erbaaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kastamonuspor	0.7	1.8	2	7/15	6/15
Erbaaspor	0.9	1.5	3	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kastamonuspor sit 12th in 2. Lig (42 points from 36 matches) and Erbaaspor sit 15th (34 points from 36 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Kastamonuspor	36	11	9	16	44	56	42
15	Erbaaspor	36	10	7	19	40	61	34

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kastamonuspor vs Erbaaspor?: The Footlab model makes Kastamonuspor the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Erbaaspor.
Where and when is Kastamonuspor vs Erbaaspor played?: Kastamonuspor vs Erbaaspor is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kastamonu Gazi Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.