Muş Sport Klübü vs Hatayspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Muş Şehir Stadı, Muş
The Footlab model makes Muş Sport Klübü the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Hatayspor. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Muş Sport Klübü vs Hatayspor?
Muş Sport Klübü starts as the favourite with a 243-point Elo edge (1,822 vs 1,578).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muş Sport Klübü have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Hatayspor have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Mardin 1969(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| May 4, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(home) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Adanaspor(home) | 6-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Fethiyespor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Vanspor FK(home) | 3-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Serik Spor(away) | 2-4 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sakaryaspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sarıyer(away) | 0-4 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Adana Demirspor(home) | 4-0 | 1. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Muş Sport Klübü score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hatayspor score 1.0 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muş Sport Klübü | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Hatayspor | 1.0 | 2.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Muş Sport Klübü | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 82 | 35 | 70 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Muş Sport Klübü vs Hatayspor?
- The Footlab model makes Muş Sport Klübü the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Hatayspor.
- Where and when is Muş Sport Klübü vs Hatayspor played?
- Muş Sport Klübü vs Hatayspor is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Muş Şehir Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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