Match

Adana Demirspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Adana Stadyumu, Adana

Adana Demirsporİnegöl Kafkas Gençlik

The Footlab model makes İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Adana Demirspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Adana Demirspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik?

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,668 vs 1,452).

Adana Demirspor win21 %
Draw23 %
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik win57 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adana Demirspor have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Adana Demirspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 1, 2026İstanbulspor(away)1-81. Lig
Apr 25, 2026Ümraniyespor(home)1-31. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Boluspor(away)0-61. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Iğdır FK(home)1-61. Lig
Apr 7, 2026Hatayspor(away)0-41. Lig
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Bursa Yıldırımspor(home)3-13. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026Kestel Çilek(away)2-13. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026Galata(away)1-03. Lig - Group 1
Mar 29, 2026Beykoz İshaklıspor(home)1-03. Lig - Group 1
Mar 25, 2026İnkılapspor(away)1-33. Lig - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Adana Demirspor score 0.5 and concede 4.5 goals per match over their last 15; İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Adana Demirspor0.54.506/1513/15
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik1.60.9510/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Adana Demirspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik?
The Footlab model makes İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Adana Demirspor.
Where and when is Adana Demirspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik played?
Adana Demirspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Adana Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Adana Demirspor and İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik

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