Sebat Gençlikspor vs Muş Sport Klübü: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ortahisar Yavuz Selim Stadı, Trabzon
The Footlab model makes Muş Sport Klübü the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Sebat Gençlikspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sebat Gençlikspor vs Muş Sport Klübü?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Sebat Gençlikspor (1,744) and Muş Sport Klübü (1,822).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sebat Gençlikspor have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Muş Sport Klübü have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Orduspor 1967(away) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | 1926 Bulancak(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Çayelispor(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Amasyaspor 1968(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Mardin 1969(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| May 4, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(home) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Adanaspor(home) | 6-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Fethiyespor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Sebat Gençlikspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Muş Sport Klübü win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2024 | Sebat Gençlikspor 0-3 Muş Sport Klübü | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 15, 2024 | Muş Sport Klübü 0-1 Sebat Gençlikspor | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Sebat Gençlikspor 1-0 Muş Sport Klübü | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Muş Sport Klübü 2-0 Sebat Gençlikspor | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Sebat Gençlikspor vs Muş Sport Klübü on May 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Sebat Gençlikspor score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Muş Sport Klübü score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebat Gençlikspor | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Muş Sport Klübü | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Muş Sport Klübü | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 82 | 35 | 70 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sebat Gençlikspor vs Muş Sport Klübü?
- The Footlab model makes Muş Sport Klübü the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Sebat Gençlikspor.
- Where and when is Sebat Gençlikspor vs Muş Sport Klübü played?
- Sebat Gençlikspor vs Muş Sport Klübü is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ortahisar Yavuz Selim Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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