Match

Ankaraspor vs Kastamonuspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)15 Temmuz Milli Birlik Stadyumu, Sincan

AnkarasporKastamonuspor

The Footlab model makes Ankaraspor the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Kastamonuspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ankaraspor vs Kastamonuspor?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Ankaraspor (1,695) and Kastamonuspor (1,653).

Ankaraspor win51 %
Draw23 %
Kastamonuspor win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ankaraspor have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Kastamonuspor have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ankaraspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Şanlıurfaspor(away)1-22. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Karaman FK(home)5-42. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Karacabey Belediyespor(away)3-32. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Batman Petrolspor(home)2-32. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Altınordu(away)0-12. Lig
Kastamonuspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Muğlaspor(home)0-32. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Şanlıurfaspor(away)2-52. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Karaman FK(home)2-22. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Karacabey Belediyespor(away)0-42. Lig
Mar 29, 2026Batman Petrolspor(home)1-22. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Ankaraspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kastamonuspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 10, 2026Ankaraspor 2-2 Kastamonuspor2. Lig
Aug 24, 2025Kastamonuspor 0-1 Ankaraspor2. Lig
Apr 20, 2025Ankaraspor 3-0 Kastamonuspor2. Lig
Dec 8, 2024Kastamonuspor 2-0 Ankaraspor2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Ankaraspor vs Kastamonuspor on Jan 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ankaraspor score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ankaraspor1.82.1012/1510/15
Kastamonuspor0.71.827/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ankaraspor sit 10th in 2. Lig (52 points from 36 matches) and Kastamonuspor sit 12th (42 points from 36 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Ankaraspor36131310645452
12Kastamonuspor3611916445642

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ankaraspor vs Kastamonuspor?
The Footlab model makes Ankaraspor the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Kastamonuspor.
Where and when is Ankaraspor vs Kastamonuspor played?
Ankaraspor vs Kastamonuspor is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 15 Temmuz Milli Birlik Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ankaraspor and Kastamonuspor

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