Ankaraspor vs Kastamonuspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)15 Temmuz Milli Birlik Stadyumu, Sincan
The Footlab model makes Ankaraspor the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Kastamonuspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ankaraspor vs Kastamonuspor?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Ankaraspor (1,695) and Kastamonuspor (1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ankaraspor have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Kastamonuspor have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Karaman FK(home) | 5-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Karacabey Belediyespor(away) | 3-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 2-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Altınordu(away) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor(away) | 2-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Karaman FK(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Karacabey Belediyespor(away) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Ankaraspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kastamonuspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Ankaraspor 2-2 Kastamonuspor | 2. Lig |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Kastamonuspor 0-1 Ankaraspor | 2. Lig |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Ankaraspor 3-0 Kastamonuspor | 2. Lig |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Kastamonuspor 2-0 Ankaraspor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Ankaraspor vs Kastamonuspor on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ankaraspor score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankaraspor | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Kastamonuspor | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ankaraspor sit 10th in 2. Lig (52 points from 36 matches) and Kastamonuspor sit 12th (42 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ankaraspor | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 52 |
| 12 | Kastamonuspor | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 56 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ankaraspor vs Kastamonuspor?
- The Footlab model makes Ankaraspor the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Kastamonuspor.
- Where and when is Ankaraspor vs Kastamonuspor played?
- Ankaraspor vs Kastamonuspor is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 15 Temmuz Milli Birlik Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026Adana Demirsporvsİnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
- Oct 25, 2026HataysporvsErbaaspor
- Oct 25, 2026Güzide GebzesporvsSomaspor
- Oct 25, 2026Isparta 32 SporvsElazığspor
- Oct 25, 2026Arnavutköy BelediyesporvsŞanlıurfaspor
- Oct 25, 2026Aliağa FAŞvs68 Aksaray Belediyespor
- Oct 25, 2026Sebat GençliksporvsMuş Sport Klübü
- Oct 25, 2026Çorluspor 1947vsMenemen FK