Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Ağrı 1970: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Malatya Yeşiltepe Stadı, Malatya
The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Ağrı 1970. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Ağrı 1970?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Yeşilyurt Belediyespor (1,610) and Ağrı 1970 (1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeşilyurt Belediyespor have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Ağrı 1970 have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 4-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Silifke Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Silifke Belediyespor(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kapadokyaspor(away) | 3-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Kilis Belediyespor(away) | 4-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Karaköprü Belediyespor(away) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Silifke Belediyespor(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ağrı 1970 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ağrı 1970 0-1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 0-0 Ağrı 1970 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Ağrı 1970 vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ağrı 1970 score 3.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeşilyurt Belediyespor | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Ağrı 1970 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Ağrı 1970?
- The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Ağrı 1970.
- Where and when is Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Ağrı 1970 played?
- Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Ağrı 1970 is played on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Malatya Yeşiltepe Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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