Adelaide United vs Auckland: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Coopers Stadium, Adelaide
The Footlab AI model makes Auckland the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Adelaide United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Auckland wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,770 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Adelaide United vs Auckland?
Auckland starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,835 vs 1,684).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Adelaide United vs Auckland
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Adelaide United
4-3-3- 35Brody Burkitt
- 19A. Tatu
- 12J. Yull
- 55E. Alagich
- 23L. Đuzel
- 10Juan Muñiz
- 4P. Kikianis
- 14J. Barnett
- 62F. Talladira
- 52S. Phillis
- 22J. Smits
Auckland
4-2-3-1- 9S. Cosgrove
- 27L. Rogerson
- 10L. Bayliss
- 8F. Gallegos
- 77L. Brook
- 22J. Brimmer
- 2H. Sakai
- 4N. Pijnaker
- 15F. de Vries
- 23R. Wynne
- 1M. Woud
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 11:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adelaide United have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Auckland have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Home United(away) | 0-5 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 0-4 | A-League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Home United(home) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix(home) | 0-0 | A-League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(away) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers(away) | 2-5 | A-League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Melbourne City(home) | 3-1 | A-League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Adelaide United wins, 4 draws, 2 Auckland wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Adelaide United 0-3 Auckland | A-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Auckland 1-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Adelaide United 1-1 Auckland | A-League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Auckland 2-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Auckland 4-4 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Adelaide United 2-2 Auckland | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Adelaide United vs Auckland on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Adelaide United score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Auckland score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide United | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Auckland | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Adelaide United sit 12th in A-League (0 points from 2 matches) and Auckland sit 5th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Auckland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 12 | Adelaide United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
A question about Adelaide United vs Auckland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Adelaide United vs Auckland?
- The Footlab AI model makes Auckland the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Adelaide United.
- Where and when is Adelaide United vs Auckland played?
- Adelaide United vs Auckland is played on May 1, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Coopers Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.