Adelaide United vs Auckland: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Coopers Stadium, Adelaide
The Footlab model makes Auckland the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Adelaide United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Adelaide United vs Auckland?
Auckland starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,925 vs 1,805).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adelaide United have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Auckland have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Công An Nhân Dân(home) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Jul 30, 2026 | South Melbourne(away) | 1-2 | Australia Cup |
| May 15, 2026 | Auckland(home) | 0-3 | A-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Melbourne City(away) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 1-0 | A-League |
| May 15, 2026 | Adelaide United(away) | 3-0 | A-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-1 | A-League |
| May 2, 2026 | Melbourne City(home) | 1-1 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Adelaide United win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Auckland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Adelaide United 0-3 Auckland | A-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Auckland 1-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Adelaide United 1-1 Auckland | A-League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Auckland 2-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Auckland 4-4 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Adelaide United 2-2 Auckland | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Adelaide United vs Auckland on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Adelaide United score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Auckland score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide United | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Auckland | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Adelaide United sit 2nd in A-League (43 points from 26 matches) and Auckland sit 3rd (42 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Adelaide United | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46 | 36 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42 | 29 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Adelaide United vs Auckland?
- The Footlab model makes Auckland the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Adelaide United.
- Where and when is Adelaide United vs Auckland played?
- Adelaide United vs Auckland is played on May 1, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Coopers Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.