Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 30, 2027 at 11:45 AM (UTC)HBF Park, Perth
The Footlab AI model makes Perth Glory the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Wellington Phoenix. The most likely score is 1-1. If Perth Glory wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Perth Glory (1,707) and Wellington Phoenix (1,699).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Perth Glory
4-1-4-1- 22A. Taggart
- 13H. Hore
- 16Lucas Scicluna
- 7N. Pennington
- 27W. Freney
- 9J. Kucharski
- 45B. Kaltak
- 24A. Lebib
- 4S. Wootton
- 3S. Sutton
- 33M. Sutton
Wellington Phoenix
4-4-2- 7I. Eze
- 3C. Piper
- 25K. Nagasawa
- 8P. Retre
- 20R. Najjarine
- 14A. Rufer
- 28B. Tuiloma
- 15I. Hughes
- 6T. Payne
- 18L. Kelly-Heald
- 1J. Oluwayemi
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Perth Glory have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Wellington Phoenix have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Lions(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 0-0 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Macarthur(away) | 0-4 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Melbourne City(away) | 0-2 | A-League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(away) | 1-0 | A-League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(away) | 2-1 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Perth Glory win, 3 draws, 2 Wellington Phoenix wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix 2-0 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Perth Glory 2-2 Wellington Phoenix | A-League |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Perth Glory 1-1 Wellington Phoenix | Australia Cup |
| May 4, 2025 | Wellington Phoenix 0-2 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Perth Glory 0-2 Wellington Phoenix | A-League |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Perth Glory 0-0 Wellington Phoenix | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Wellington Phoenix vs Perth Glory on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Perth Glory score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Wellington Phoenix score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perth Glory | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Wellington Phoenix | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Perth Glory sit 10th in A-League (31 points from 26 matches) and Wellington Phoenix sit 8th (33 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 48 | 33 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 39 | 31 |
A question about Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix?
- The Footlab AI model makes Perth Glory the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Wellington Phoenix.
- Where and when is Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix played?
- Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix is played on April 30, 2027 at 11:45 AM (UTC) at HBF Park, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.