Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 30, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle Jets the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Brisbane Roar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newcastle Jets wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets?
Newcastle Jets starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,846 vs 1,668).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brisbane Roar
4-1-4-1- 17J. Vidic
- 6N. Maieroni
- 44J. Lauton
- 77M. Stajic
- 2Jacob Nasso
- 10Nam Tae-Hee
- 3D. Valkanis
- 15H. Bility
- 53A. Mitchell
- 2Y. Salas
- 1D. Bouzanis
Newcastle Jets
4-1-4-1- 8P. Wood
- 14M. Burgess
- 28W. Dobson
- 43X. Bertoncello
- 11J. Lolley
- 27J. Recchia
- 23D. Wilmering
- 5J. Shaughnessy
- 22J. Bertolissio
- 39T. Aquilina
- 1J. Delianov
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 10:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brisbane Roar have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Newcastle Jets have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 2-4 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sydney Olympic(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Melbourne City(home) | 2-3 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners(away) | 2-2 | A-League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 1-3 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 1-7 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Preston Lions(away) | 2-3 | Australia Cup |
| May 16, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 1-1 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Brisbane Roar wins, 0 draws, 4 Newcastle Jets wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Newcastle Jets 4-1 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Brisbane Roar 3-0 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Newcastle Jets 1-3 Brisbane Roar | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Newcastle Jets 3-1 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Jan 7, 2025 | Brisbane Roar 0-1 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Brisbane Roar 0-2 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brisbane Roar score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Newcastle Jets score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane Roar | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Newcastle Jets | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
A question about Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle Jets the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Brisbane Roar.
- Where and when is Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets played?
- Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets is played on April 30, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Suncorp Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.