Match

Adhyaksa vs Bali United: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Maladi Sriwedari, Surakarta

AdhyaksaBali United

The Footlab model makes Adhyaksa the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Bali United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Adhyaksa vs Bali United?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Adhyaksa (1,735) and Bali United (1,775).

Adhyaksa win41 %
Draw26 %
Bali United win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adhyaksa have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Bali United have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Adhyaksa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 8, 2026Persipura Jayapura(away)1-0Liga 2
May 2, 2026Sriwijaya FC(home)4-0Liga 2
Apr 25, 2026PSMS Medan(away)1-1Liga 2
Apr 18, 2026Bekasi City(away)1-3Liga 2
Apr 12, 2026Persiraja Banda Aceh(home)4-3Liga 2
Bali United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Persib Bandung(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
May 22, 2026Dewa United(away)1-0Liga 1
May 17, 2026Bhayangkara FC(home)4-1Liga 1
May 11, 2026Pusamania Borneo(home)2-3Liga 1
May 5, 2026Persepam Madura Utd(away)0-2Liga 1

How many goals should we expect?

Adhyaksa score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bali United score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Adhyaksa2.71.2410/1510/15
Bali United2.11.648/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Bali United3414911574851

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Adhyaksa vs Bali United?
The Footlab model makes Adhyaksa the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Bali United.
Where and when is Adhyaksa vs Bali United played?
Adhyaksa vs Bali United is played on September 11, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Maladi Sriwedari, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Adhyaksa and Bali United

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