Adhyaksa vs Bali United: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Maladi Sriwedari, Surakarta
The Footlab model makes Adhyaksa the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Bali United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Adhyaksa vs Bali United?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Adhyaksa (1,735) and Bali United (1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adhyaksa have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Bali United have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Persipura Jayapura(away) | 1-0 | Liga 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Sriwijaya FC(home) | 4-0 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | PSMS Medan(away) | 1-1 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bekasi City(away) | 1-3 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Persiraja Banda Aceh(home) | 4-3 | Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Dewa United(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(home) | 4-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(home) | 2-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Adhyaksa score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bali United score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adhyaksa | 2.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Bali United | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Adhyaksa vs Bali United?
- The Footlab model makes Adhyaksa the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Bali United.
- Where and when is Adhyaksa vs Bali United played?
- Adhyaksa vs Bali United is played on September 11, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Maladi Sriwedari, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 11, 2026GarudayaksavsPersik Kediri
- Sep 11, 2026Dewa UnitedvsBhayangkara FC
- Sep 12, 2026PSS SlemanvsPersepam Madura Utd
- Sep 12, 2026PersijavsPersib Bandung
- Sep 12, 2026PersijapvsPusamania Borneo
- Sep 13, 2026PSM MakassarvsArema FC
- Sep 13, 2026PersitavsMalut United
- Sep 13, 2026Persebaya SurabayavsPSIM Yogyakarta