ADO '20 vs Sparta Nijkerk: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Vlotter veld 1, Heemskerk
The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Nijkerk the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for ADO '20. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sparta Nijkerk wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,605 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ADO '20 vs Sparta Nijkerk?
On Elo ratings, ADO '20 has 1,820 points and Sparta Nijkerk 1,880.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ADO '20 vs Sparta Nijkerk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ADO '20
4-3-3- 14Storm Holtkamp
- 16Eon Herman
- 29Tom Welboren
- 19Jesper de Vre
- 21Teun Groot
- 23D. Rienstra
- 2Mikael Schilling
- 3Oscar Wilffert
- 4Yaro Hirasingh
- 17Denzel Prijor
- 22Virgil Deen
Sparta Nijkerk
4-3-3- 7T. Pieters
- 29T. Buitink
- 10M. Magan
- 8P. Vroegh
- 9W. Vink
- 21J. van Dalen
- 4J. Makizodila
- 28Jorrit Fiegen
- 14T. van Dijk
- 18K. Hugo
- 34I. Bouwman
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 08:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ADO '20 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sparta Nijkerk have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Excelsior '31(home) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dovo(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Hoogeveen(home) | 1-5 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Hoek(away) | 2-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Hoogeveen(home) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Purmersteijn(away) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | VV Scherpenzeel(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | SVZW(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 ADO '20 win, 1 draw, 0 Sparta Nijkerk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | ADO '20 1-1 Sparta Nijkerk | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Sparta Nijkerk 0-1 ADO '20 | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: ADO '20 vs Sparta Nijkerk on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ADO '20 score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Nijkerk score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO '20 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Sparta Nijkerk | 2.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ADO '20 sit 10th in Derde Divisie (14 points from 11 matches) and Sparta Nijkerk sit 9th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 17 |
| 10 | ADO '20 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 14 |
A question about ADO '20 vs Sparta Nijkerk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ADO '20 vs Sparta Nijkerk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Nijkerk the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for ADO '20.
- Where and when is ADO '20 vs Sparta Nijkerk played?
- ADO '20 vs Sparta Nijkerk is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Vlotter veld 1, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.