Poortugaal vs Noordwijk: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Polder Albrandswaard, Poortugaal
The Footlab AI model makes Noordwijk the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Poortugaal. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,745 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poortugaal vs Noordwijk?
Noordwijk starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (1,922 vs 1,751).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Poortugaal vs Noordwijk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Poortugaal
4-3-3- 9B. el Idrissi
- 7Qrushinco Rosina
- 14P. Fernand
- 16Bjorn Wagenaar
- 6Sven Breukhoven
- 2N. Voorn
- 15Daan van der Harst
- 18Baset Moshtaq
- 3S. Hamann
- 5J. den Hartog
- 1Marvin Nootenboom
Noordwijk
4-3-3- 31E. Wendt
- 11V. Tjin-Asjoe
- 18R. Marbus
- 3D. Reinders
- 8B. Franken
- 19D. Bakker
- 37K. Groot
- 20Neto
- 5J. Strooker
- 22T. Zethof
- 44J. Roggeveen
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 10:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poortugaal have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Noordwijk have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Blauw Geel(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | UNA(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dongen(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | GOES(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | GOES(home) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | EVV(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Zwaluwen(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Poortugaal score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Noordwijk score 2.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poortugaal | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Noordwijk | 2.0 | 0.6 | 11 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poortugaal sit 7th in Derde Divisie (18 points from 11 matches) and Noordwijk sit 1st (28 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noordwijk | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Poortugaal | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 18 |
A question about Poortugaal vs Noordwijk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poortugaal vs Noordwijk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Noordwijk the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Poortugaal.
- Where and when is Poortugaal vs Noordwijk played?
- Poortugaal vs Noordwijk is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Polder Albrandswaard, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.