SVZW vs Staphorst: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC)Sportpark Het Lageveld (SVZW), Wierden
The Footlab model makes SVZW the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Staphorst. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SVZW vs Staphorst?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate SVZW (1,720) and Staphorst (1,720).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, SVZW have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Staphorst have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoogeveen(away) | 3-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Jul 8, 2023 | FC Volendam(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 24, 2016 | Jodan Boys(away) | 0-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Aug 17, 2016 | Avanti '31(away) | 2-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Excelsior '31(home) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dovo(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | ROHDA Raalte(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Excelsior '31(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Hsc 21(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
SVZW score 1.4 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 5; Staphorst score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SVZW | 1.4 | 2.8 | 1 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Staphorst | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SVZW sit 13th in Derde Divisie (1 points from 2 matches) and Staphorst sit 15th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SVZW | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 15 | Staphorst | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SVZW vs Staphorst?
- The Footlab model makes SVZW the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Staphorst.
- Where and when is SVZW vs Staphorst played?
- SVZW vs Staphorst is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Het Lageveld (SVZW), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.