ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:45 PM (UTC)Bingoal Stadion, ‘s-Gravenhage
The Footlab model makes ADO Den Haag the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Fortuna Sittard. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate ADO Den Haag (1,880) and Fortuna Sittard (1,899).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ADO Den Haag have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Fortuna Sittard have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Metz(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 ADO Den Haag win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Fortuna Sittard win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2021 | ADO Den Haag 0-3 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Feb 20, 2021 | Fortuna Sittard 2-0 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Nov 9, 2019 | Fortuna Sittard 1-0 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Oct 31, 2019 | Fortuna Sittard 3-0 ADO Den Haag | KNVB Beker |
| Apr 3, 2019 | Fortuna Sittard 0-0 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Aug 24, 2018 | ADO Den Haag 3-1 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard on Apr 25, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
ADO Den Haag score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Sittard score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Fortuna Sittard | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ADO Den Haag sit 16th in Eredivisie (0 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Sittard sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | ADO Den Haag | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard?
- The Footlab model makes ADO Den Haag the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Fortuna Sittard.
- Where and when is ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard played?
- ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:45 PM (UTC) at Bingoal Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.