Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen: prediction and stats
EredivisieMatchday 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
The Footlab AI model makes Heerenveen the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Fortuna Sittard. The most likely score is 1-1. If Heerenveen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,632 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen?
Heerenveen starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (2,099 vs 1,987).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fortuna Sittard
5-4-1- 9A. Descotte
- 23P. Brittijn
- 22Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
- 52M. Ihattaren
- 7K. Peterson
- 28Justin Quincy Hubner
- 6S. van Ottele
- 12Ivo Pinto
- 8J. Dahlhaus
- 3Rodrigo Guth
- 31M. Branderhorst
Heerenveen
4-2-3-1- 9D. Vente
- 7M. Rivera
- 20J. Trenskow
- 8N. Courtens
- 16M. Linday
- 14L. Smans
- 4S. Kersten
- 19V. Zagaritis
- 45O. Braude
- 3M. Willemsen
- 1B. Klaverboer
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 10:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Sittard have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Heerenveen have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 2-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 5-3 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 31, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 2-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 4-0 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fortuna Sittard wins, 2 draws, 2 Heerenveen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Heerenveen 2-1 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Fortuna Sittard 2-0 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Heerenveen 2-2 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Fortuna Sittard 3-0 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Fortuna Sittard 3-3 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Heerenveen 3-0 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Heerenveen vs Fortuna Sittard on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Sittard score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Heerenveen score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Heerenveen | 2.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Sittard sit 7th in Eredivisie (20 points from 12 matches) and Heerenveen sit 6th (21 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heerenveen | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
A question about Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heerenveen the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Fortuna Sittard.
- Where and when is Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen played?
- Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.