ADO Den Haag vs Utrecht: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Bingoal Stadion, ‘s-Gravenhage
The Footlab model makes Utrecht the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for ADO Den Haag. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Utrecht?
Utrecht starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,995 vs 1,859).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ADO Den Haag have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Utrecht have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Cambuur(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 ADO Den Haag win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Utrecht win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2021 | ADO Den Haag 1-4 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Dec 6, 2020 | Utrecht 1-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Jan 24, 2020 | Utrecht 4-0 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Aug 4, 2019 | ADO Den Haag 2-4 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Apr 6, 2019 | ADO Den Haag 5-0 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Utrecht 3-0 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: ADO Den Haag vs Utrecht on Apr 4, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
ADO Den Haag score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Utrecht score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Utrecht | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ADO Den Haag sit 17th in Eredivisie (0 points from 3 matches) and Utrecht sit 15th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ADO Den Haag vs Utrecht?
- The Footlab model makes Utrecht the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for ADO Den Haag.
- Where and when is ADO Den Haag vs Utrecht played?
- ADO Den Haag vs Utrecht is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Bingoal Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.